Minority Report is on the Way
In the movie Minority Report, based on the short story The Minority Report by Philip K. Dick, a specialized police department apprehends criminals before they even break the law. Three psychics called “precogs”, mutated humans with precognition abilities, generate future visions which allow the special police unit “Precrime” to take the future criminals into custody even before they themselves know that they will break the law. As such the movie heavily touches the philosophic questions surrounding foreknowledge and free will vs. determinism.
Now, scientists at the University of Darmstadt have developed a similar system called DyRiAS. This acronym stands for Dynamische Risiko Analyse System (Dynamic Risk Analysis System). Allegedly, the software could have accurately predicted every known rampage in the US or Germany, according to Dr. Jens Hoffman. As far as I understand, the program should be used by the police, school psychologists, teachers and similar personnel. The user has to anser questions and the program will provide the user with a profile. There are 32 known factors that indicate a higher risk of a person going postal and DyRiAS will check the answers against these factors.
Since March 2009 the system is being tested in a few schools in Germany. Additionally, it is being tested by the Swiss police in Zurich. There are plans for further versions of the program, especially for marital violence and stalking. According to Dr. Hoffman, this program is only intended for use with conspicuos persons. DyRiAS can only be fed with anonymized data, no personal data will be stored.
Sounds nice, doesn’t it? I admit to being a pessimist so I don’t have any qualms whatsoever to predicting that after this piece of software has been established in our society it will be improved and it will get used in more situations. People will be tested when applying for a new job, for instance. Sure, everything is fine, isn’t it? Neither of us wants wo work with a sociopath who might go postal at any moment. I can appreciate that thought. But what if you’re not totally in the clear? Will you be flagged as a potential risk? What’s more important: Will it stick? I don’t believe in data privacy. It’s nice to have, it’s worth to fight for, but it is, ultimately, not to be taken for granted. People still stick to the thought that knowledge is power without realising that knowledge is only powerful if you know why that is.
Anyway, never mind. DyRiAS isn’t used for apprehending a potential criminal. Yet.